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☆ Dollar steady against euro, yen on intervention watch as it hits one-week low
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Traders also remained on alert for potential intervention in the Japanese currency as it rose above the 151 level against the dollar, its weakest level in a week. “The dollar is vulnerable to weaker data going forward," said Shaun Osborne, chief foreign exchange strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto. "We’re transitioning to a sort of sell dollar rallies environment, after the buy dollar dips trend that we’ve seen really since the middle of the year." The dollar gained 0.41% to 151.03 Japanese yen , heading back towards levels that have investors on watch for currency intervention.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Shaun Osborne, ”, Osborne, Jerome Powell, Powell, Nick Bennenbroek, Francesco Pesole, Karen Brettell, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Scotiabank, U.S, ING, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, Toronto

☆ Dollar rises for third day before Fed Chair Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"The data side has been very quiet so the main drivers have been the hawkish comments from Fed speakers," said ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole. Focus now turns to remarks from Fed Chair Powell later on Wednesday. DARKENING GROWTH OUTLOOKThe euro fell 0.3% to $1.0670, further weighed by a darkening growth outlook in the euro zone. "The mixed outlook for consumer and investment spending leaves the euro zone very close to recession," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek. "Regardless of whether the euro zone falls into recession, we see enough growth headwinds to suggest that the European Central Bank's monetary tightening is done."

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Francesco Pesole, They've, Powell, Matt Simpson, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, ING's Pesole, Luci Ellis, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Lincoln, Christina Fincher, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve, U.S, ING, Central, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson

After getting battered for most of 2023, emerging market (EM) currencies have made modest gains against the dollar after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady last week and data suggested the U.S. economy might finally be slowing. That dollar weakening trend was likely to hold in the near-term as a majority of analysts in the Nov. 3-7 Reuters poll expected the dollar to trade lower by year-end. "So it's difficult to see the EM currencies recoup some of the sharp losses that we've seen in the last few months. Although EM currencies gained at the beginning of 2023 and investors brimmed with positivity after China's post-COVID reopening, economic performance in the world's second largest economy has been mostly underwhelming. "Easier Fed monetary policy should also take some pressure off select emerging market currencies in the second half of next year," noted Nick Bennenbroek, international economist at Wells Fargo.

Persons: We've, Mitul Kotecha, we've, it's, Nick Bennenbroek, Devayani Sathyan, Anant Chandak, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Mark Potter Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters, FX, Asia, Barclays, South Korean, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, JOHANNESBURG, U.S, Brazilian, Wells Fargo

☆ Dollar licks its wounds ahead of Fed Chair Powell's remarks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The British pound , which earlier in the week hit a seven-week top against the dollar, was last some distance away at $1.2286. Focus now turns to a speech by Fed Chair Powell later on Wednesday. The euro fell 0.07% to $1.0691, further weighed by a darkening growth outlook in the euro zone. "The mixed outlook for consumer and investment spending leaves the euro zone very close to recession," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek. "Regardless of whether the euro zone falls into recession, we see enough growth headwinds to suggest that the European Central Bank's monetary tightening is done."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, We're, Powell, Simpson, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, Luci Ellis Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, U.S ., Central, Australian, Reserve Bank of Australia, New Zealand

That has put pressure on risky EM currencies, echoing the dynamics observed last year when the Fed began raising rates. In the Sept. 1-6 poll, almost all beaten-down emerging market currencies were forecast to move little, or trade modestly higher against the dollar in a year, with some making small gains in three months. The underperformance of China has probably been the biggest story holding back EM currencies." Earlier this year, many analysts expected China's reopening to boost the yuan and other EM currencies, especially those exporting commodities to the world's second-largest economy, but this scenario did not unfold as anticipated. Through the end of this year, we believe most EM Asia currencies can weaken," said Nick Bennenbroek, international economist at Wells Fargo.

Persons: Chris Turner, Nick Bennenbroek, Hugo Pienaar, Devayani Sathyan, Veronica Khongwir, Jonathan Cable, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Treasury, greenback, Fed, ING, Reserve Bank of India, Korean, Bureau for Economic Research, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, JOHANNESBURG, China, Asia, Wells Fargo, Russian, South Africa, Bengaluru

☆ How should central banks coordinate when their economies are headed in opposite directions?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

So how should central banks coordinate when their economies are headed in opposite directions? And since the start of the pandemic, international monetary policy has looked striking similar. From the United States to Saudi Arabia to Malaysia, many major world economies slashed interest rates to historically low levels in March 2020 to stimulate their economies amid Covid lockdowns. Central bankers do “talk a lot, and we see each other quite a bit,” said Andrew Bailey, Bank of England’s president, at a June event hosted by the European Central Bank. “Adopting formal global monetary policy cooperation could plausibly erode central bank credibility and public support for central bank independence,” former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said at a 2021 Asia Economic Policy Conference.

Persons: Jackson, —, Nick Bennenbroek, ”, Andrew Bailey ,, Richard Clarida, “ There’s, ” Bennenbroek, Jerome Powell Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Kansas City Federal Reserve, Andrew Bailey , Bank of England’s, European Central Bank, Federal, Asia Economic Policy Locations: lockstep, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, United States, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, China, Wells, Asia

☆ Dollar shines on U.S. economic resilience, Aussie tumbles after employment data
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Hundred dollar bills are seen in this photo illustraiton in Warsaw, Poland on Sept. 21, 2022. The Australian dollar tumbled after the country's July employment unexpectedly fell while its jobless rate ticked up more than expected. The Aussie sank nearly 1% after the release of the figures, dragging the New Zealand dollar alongside it. "We've got the U.S. staying really resilient still, under the weight of high interest rates," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, or CBA. "We expect 25-basis-point rate hikes in both September and November, for a peak policy rate of 5.75%," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek of the Bank of England's monetary policy outlook.

Persons: homebuilding, We've, Carol Kong, Kong, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, Matt Simpson, there's, CBA's Organizations: dovish Bank of Japan, Aussie, New Zealand, U.S, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fed, FX, Bank of England, Bank, Australian, Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, The U.S Locations: Warsaw, Poland, Asia, Japan, China, CBA's Kong, The

☆ Dollar shines on US economic resilience; Aussie tumbles after employment data
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Australian dollar tumbled after the country's July employment unexpectedly fell while its jobless rate ticked up more than expected. The Aussie sank nearly 1% after the release of the figures, dragging the New Zealand dollar alongside it. The yen bottomed out at 146.565 per dollar in early Asia trade, its lowest level since November, having come under renewed pressure as a result of interest rate differentials between the U.S. and Japan. "We've got the U.S. staying really resilient still, under the weight of high interest rates," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). "We expect 25-basis-point rate hikes in both September and November, for a peak policy rate of 5.75%," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek of the Bank of England's monetary policy outlook.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, homebuilding, We've, Carol Kong, Kong, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, Matt Simpson, there's, CBA's, Rae Wee, Gerry Doyle Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, dovish Bank of Japan, Aussie, New Zealand, U.S, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fed, FX, Bank of England, Bank, Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, The U.S, Thomson Locations: Asia, Japan, China, CBA's Kong, The

☆ Dollar rises as hawkish central banks cast shadow over growth outlook; dent risk sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rate hike surprises and hawkish comments from central banks globally have renewed market fears that policymakers have further to go in tightening policy to tame inflation, even at the risk of tipping their economies into a recession. Norway's central bank on Thursday also stunned markets with a 50 bp rate hike and said it aimed for another hike in August. "Markets are definitely taken by surprise by the recent, more aggressive actions that some central banks had to take," said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ. "Also putting into question the following trend of other central banks that initially looked like they've paused but went on to hike rates ... so that's something that markets are starting to become worried about again." Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday the central bank would move interest rates at a "careful pace" from here.

Persons: stoked, Sterling, Nick Bennenbroek, Khoon Goh, they've, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, U.S ., The, New, Swiss National Bank, ANZ, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo, New Zealand, Asia

☆ Dollar rises as hawkish central banks dent risk sentiment, sterling slips
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

While higher rates are typically supportive of currencies, the risk that they will trigger an economic downturn has pushed some investors to seek safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar. The Turkish lira slid to a record low of 25.589 against the U.S. dollar, after the Turkey's central bank 650 basis points hike to 15% on Thursday missed expectations. In other currencies, the dollar rose broadly and stood near an over seven-month high against the yen at 142.90. The euro slipped 0.04% to $1.0950, while the U.S. dollar rose 0.05% against a basket of six major peers to 102.44. "Most of the Western central banks are now more hawkish than previously projected," said Tina Teng, market analyst at CMC Markets.

Persons: stoked, Sterling, BoE, Nick Bennenbroek, Jerome Powell, Tina Teng, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of England, U.S ., Bank of Japan, U.S, Federal, Fed, Swiss National Bank, CMC Markets, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Wells Fargo

☆ Relief rally on bank rescue lifts riskier currencies; dollar slips
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Aussie jumped 0.76% to $0.6708 in Asia trade on Friday, while the kiwi rose 0.69% to $0.6239. The move followed Credit Suisse's (CSGN.S) announcement earlier on Thursday that it would borrow up to $54 billion from the Swiss National Bank, after the central bank threw a financial lifeline to the embattled Swiss lender. Earlier in the week, the Swissie had plunged the most against the dollar in a day since 2015. It was last 0.56% higher at 133.01 per dollar, on track to rise more than 1% for the week. Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Bradley Perrett and Christopher CushingOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Dollar slips as banks rescue makes room for relief rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

ECB policymakers sought to reassure investors that euro zone banks were resilient and that if anything, the move to higher rates should bolster their margins. The euro's reaction to the decision was fairly muted, though it managed to eke out a 0.3% gain on Thursday. Earlier in the week, the Swissie had plunged the most against the dollar in a day since 2015. The Japanese yen remained elevated, and was last roughly 0.3% higher at 133.30 per dollar. "The turmoil in the banking sector is complicating the outlook for Fed policy, but the impact may be more nuanced than the Fed simply reversing course," said Philip Marey, senior U.S. strategist at Rabobank.

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